NVDA research calls — NVIDIA Corporation

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NVDA NVIDIA Corporation · Technology

2 research calls since Aug 9. Latest view: No clear edge

Edge per call (0–10)

Last close

$217.94 2026-10-27

1 week

+0.7%

1 month

-3.2%

3 months

+10.6%

1 year

+13.8%

Latest call vs SPY

-2.2% since 2026-08-07

Next earnings

2026-11-17 AMC

Technical scan

Strong Sell rank 100 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27

MACD: Bearish WeakeningOBV: Confirmed Downtrend

Notable moves days NVDA was among the market's biggest movers

2026-09-02 +3.2% Hugging Face deal · $224.41
2026-08-27 +8.7% earnings · $227.98
2026-07-27 -5.0% WSJ report Nvidia guarantee · $196.51

What would change the latest view

Bullish interpretation is invalidated if Q2 results or the following-quarter guide indicate that FY2027 revenue is no longer tracking toward approximately $393.9B without offsetting margin or EPS improvement.
Bullish interpretation is invalidated if gross margin falls below guidance and management attributes the decline to structural pricing or competitive pressure rather than temporary ramp costs.
Bearish interpretation is invalidated if FY2027 revenue/EPS consensus is raised materially after earnings while the share price remains near current levels, producing clear earnings-led valuation compression.
The demand thesis is invalidated if major hyperscalers cut or defer AI infrastructure budgets, report persistent unused AI capacity, or disclose broad accelerator-order cancellations.
The execution thesis is invalidated if Rubin slips beyond H2 2026 or Blackwell Ultra supply and rack-level integration issues prevent the required second-half revenue ramp.
The share-retention thesis is invalidated if disclosed customer deployments show custom ASICs or AMD replacing, rather than supplementing, NVIDIA at scale in core training or inference workloads.

All calls on NVDA

NVDA No clear edge

Aug 9, 2026 · NVIDIA Corporation · confidence 74/100

Headline AI-capex growth appears largely priced in, but a capex downturn does not.

Headline AI-capex growth appears largely priced in, but a capex downturn does not. At $223.96, NVDA is 5% below its 52-week high after a 30.3% six-month gain, while FY2027 consensus already requires roughly 82% revenue growth to about $393.9B and FY2028 estimates require another 25%-40%. The stock is not obviously expensive if those estimates hold—about 24.9x FY2027 EPS—but…

Entry $223.96 (2026-08-07) 1m vs SPY: +3.2%

NVDA No clear edge

Aug 9, 2026 · NVIDIA Corporation · confidence 72/100

AI-capex growth is substantially, but not completely, priced in.

AI-capex growth is substantially, but not completely, priced in. At $223.96, NVIDIA is not valued for unlimited growth, but consensus already requires a difficult revenue ramp, roughly 75% gross margins, and limited competitive leakage. Strong capex and upward estimate revisions support the shares, while the steep second-half earnings bar and stock's proximity to its high…

Entry $223.96 (2026-08-07) 1m vs SPY: +3.2%

Results vs SPY · * still running

Published	View	Edge	Evidence	Entry	1 week	1 month	3 months
Aug 9	No clear edge	—	—	$223.96	+0.1%	+3.2%	-2.2%*
Aug 9	No clear edge	—	—	$223.96	+0.1%	+3.2%	-2.2%*

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