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Calls › UPS
UPS United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials

1 research call since Oct 27. Latest view: Lean bullish

Last close
$106.09 2026-10-27
1 week
+7.7%
1 month
+12.9%
3 months
+0.5%
1 year
+24.7%
Latest call vs SPY
+5.2% since 2026-10-26
Technical scan
Strong Buy rank 2 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

90.00100.00110.00120.002025-10-272026-04-292026-10-27Lean bullish · Oct 27, 20262025-10-27: 85.062025-10-28: 91.862025-10-29: 92.852025-10-30: 90.622025-10-31: 91.922025-11-03: 89.702025-11-04: 88.902025-11-05: 88.572025-11-06: 89.232025-11-07: 91.472025-11-10: 88.722025-11-11: 90.592025-11-12: 91.692025-11-13: 91.492025-11-14: 91.502025-11-17: 91.352025-11-18: 90.042025-11-19: 89.632025-11-20: 88.132025-11-21: 91.812025-11-24: 90.742025-11-25: 91.692025-11-26: 92.792025-11-28: 92.912025-12-01: 92.352025-12-02: 92.702025-12-03: 95.252025-12-04: 91.912025-12-05: 92.012025-12-08: 92.672025-12-09: 94.052025-12-10: 96.642025-12-11: 97.462025-12-12: 97.882025-12-15: 97.062025-12-16: 97.102025-12-17: 97.922025-12-18: 99.012025-12-19: 98.852025-12-22: 97.702025-12-23: 97.172025-12-24: 97.632025-12-26: 97.512025-12-29: 96.682025-12-30: 96.642025-12-31: 96.202026-01-02: 97.982026-01-05: 98.932026-01-06: 102.052026-01-07: 102.242026-01-08: 103.752026-01-09: 104.812026-01-12: 104.782026-01-13: 103.372026-01-14: 104.172026-01-15: 105.352026-01-16: 103.692026-01-20: 103.332026-01-21: 105.212026-01-22: 106.012026-01-23: 104.732026-01-26: 103.752026-01-27: 103.972026-01-28: 100.582026-01-29: 102.802026-01-30: 103.022026-02-02: 106.952026-02-03: 108.482026-02-04: 113.232026-02-05: 113.042026-02-06: 113.812026-02-09: 114.372026-02-10: 115.132026-02-11: 116.392026-02-12: 114.522026-02-13: 115.652026-02-17: 113.602026-02-18: 114.202026-02-19: 113.622026-02-20: 114.792026-02-23: 113.112026-02-24: 113.462026-02-25: 111.962026-02-26: 114.702026-02-27: 114.042026-03-02: 112.522026-03-03: 111.352026-03-04: 108.672026-03-05: 102.342026-03-06: 100.662026-03-09: 98.282026-03-10: 99.252026-03-11: 99.132026-03-12: 96.272026-03-13: 95.602026-03-16: 95.792026-03-17: 96.152026-03-18: 95.232026-03-19: 94.962026-03-20: 94.272026-03-23: 96.052026-03-24: 96.812026-03-25: 96.742026-03-26: 95.882026-03-27: 93.232026-03-30: 93.382026-03-31: 96.752026-04-01: 96.292026-04-02: 96.552026-04-06: 95.552026-04-07: 95.952026-04-08: 98.782026-04-09: 99.962026-04-10: 100.012026-04-13: 100.332026-04-14: 101.512026-04-15: 101.852026-04-16: 103.322026-04-17: 104.682026-04-20: 105.332026-04-21: 104.552026-04-22: 103.552026-04-23: 105.932026-04-24: 105.252026-04-27: 106.452026-04-28: 102.222026-04-29: 104.842026-04-30: 107.002026-05-01: 105.792026-05-04: 94.712026-05-05: 96.442026-05-06: 98.232026-05-07: 98.442026-05-08: 99.112026-05-11: 98.342026-05-12: 96.812026-05-13: 96.822026-05-14: 96.792026-05-15: 97.292026-05-18: 95.532026-05-19: 96.832026-05-20: 98.872026-05-21: 98.252026-05-22: 101.022026-05-26: 101.972026-05-27: 104.472026-05-28: 106.672026-05-29: 106.692026-06-01: 109.022026-06-02: 108.932026-06-03: 108.672026-06-04: 110.222026-06-05: 108.542026-06-08: 107.702026-06-09: 107.872026-06-10: 103.262026-06-11: 108.652026-06-12: 108.102026-06-15: 108.832026-06-16: 110.022026-06-17: 105.132026-06-18: 104.862026-06-22: 107.242026-06-23: 105.832026-06-24: 106.142026-06-25: 109.312026-06-26: 108.142026-06-29: 108.012026-06-30: 107.502026-07-01: 109.542026-07-02: 110.662026-07-06: 110.022026-07-07: 111.962026-07-08: 109.942026-07-09: 110.742026-07-10: 112.472026-07-13: 112.892026-07-14: 113.672026-07-15: 112.942026-07-16: 117.182026-07-17: 117.722026-07-20: 113.152026-07-21: 116.342026-07-22: 115.842026-07-23: 114.102026-07-24: 114.792026-07-27: 112.952026-07-28: 105.532026-07-29: 104.562026-07-30: 105.272026-07-31: 104.222026-08-03: 106.872026-08-04: 109.112026-08-05: 107.702026-08-06: 103.202026-08-07: 104.502026-08-10: 104.722026-08-11: 104.432026-08-12: 103.912026-08-13: 105.542026-08-14: 104.502026-08-17: 102.022026-08-18: 101.932026-08-19: 102.862026-08-20: 102.582026-08-21: 102.012026-08-24: 102.722026-08-25: 105.142026-08-26: 105.652026-08-27: 105.682026-08-28: 105.332026-08-31: 104.232026-09-01: 102.662026-09-02: 103.012026-09-03: 103.502026-09-04: 102.292026-09-08: 100.482026-09-09: 99.222026-09-10: 99.972026-09-11: 100.282026-09-14: 102.462026-09-15: 102.352026-09-16: 98.772026-09-17: 100.172026-09-18: 99.062026-09-21: 94.752026-09-22: 95.872026-09-23: 95.822026-09-24: 92.052026-09-25: 93.962026-09-28: 94.252026-09-29: 93.932026-09-30: 93.442026-10-01: 93.892026-10-02: 93.022026-10-05: 93.142026-10-06: 93.112026-10-07: 92.292026-10-08: 94.132026-10-09: 94.572026-10-12: 95.342026-10-13: 94.792026-10-14: 95.782026-10-15: 97.832026-10-16: 97.482026-10-19: 97.462026-10-20: 98.522026-10-21: 99.572026-10-22: 101.522026-10-23: 101.062026-10-26: 100.322026-10-27: 106.09

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27

MACD: Bullish MomentumOBV: Confirmed Uptrend

Notable moves days UPS was among the market's biggest movers

  • 2026-10-27  +5.8% Earnings beat raised guidance · $106.09
  • 2026-09-24  -3.9% Top decliner of the day · $92.05
  • 2026-09-21  -4.3% Top decliner of the day · $94.75
  • 2026-08-06  -4.2% Top decliner of the day · $103.20
  • 2026-07-28  -6.6% earnings · $105.53

What would change the latest view

  • U.S. Domestic adjusted operating margin flat-to-down YoY in Q4 despite the guided $3.3B operating profit — would signal the margin gains were fuel/mix timing, not structural
  • FY26 adjusted FCF guidance cut below ~$5.7B, or the 10-K shows reported cash flow materially below the adjusted figure — dividend coverage thesis breaks
  • Q4 revenue materially below the ~$25.7B guide or ADV decline significantly worse than -1.3% YoY — pricing power insufficient to offset volume loss
  • Management signals Amazon mix benefits ending faster than replacement volume arrives in 2027

All calls on UPS

UPS Lean bullish
Oct 27, 2026 · United Parcel Service, Inc. · edge 5/10· evidence 8/10

Mostly yes — it's a re-rating, not an inflection.

UPS is mid-way through a self-help story: cutting unprofitable Amazon volume, extracting base-rate increases, and taking out ~$3B of costs, and Q3 2026 provided the first clean evidence that this can hold margins (U.S. Domestic 7.0% vs 6.4%) even as volumes fall 3-9%. With forward P/E at ~12.9x versus trailing ~18.7x, estimates having been cut into the print, and the stock…

Entry $100.32 (2026-10-26) 1m vs SPY: +5.2% so far

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