HD The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
1 research call since Oct 11. Latest view: Lean bearish
Last close
$318.50 2026-10-27
Latest call vs SPY
+10.7% since 2026-10-09
Technical scan
Strong Buy rank 40 of 127
Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls
300.00 350.00 2025-10-27 2026-04-29 2026-10-27 Lean bearish · Oct 11, 2026 2025-10-27: 385.27 2025-10-28: 385.75 2025-10-29: 378.04 2025-10-30: 379.55 2025-10-31: 379.59 2025-11-03: 378.35 2025-11-04: 383.08 2025-11-05: 373.84 2025-11-06: 369.07 2025-11-07: 371.11 2025-11-10: 370.43 2025-11-11: 374.24 2025-11-12: 371.13 2025-11-13: 368.07 2025-11-14: 362.36 2025-11-17: 358.03 2025-11-18: 336.48 2025-11-19: 334.50 2025-11-20: 332.38 2025-11-21: 343.32 2025-11-24: 336.58 2025-11-25: 351.07 2025-11-26: 355.47 2025-11-28: 356.92 2025-12-01: 357.33 2025-12-02: 354.03 2025-12-03: 357.91 2025-12-04: 351.17 2025-12-05: 354.61 2025-12-08: 349.91 2025-12-09: 345.27 2025-12-10: 351.13 2025-12-11: 357.46 2025-12-12: 359.65 2025-12-15: 356.99 2025-12-16: 352.68 2025-12-17: 356.75 2025-12-18: 354.99 2025-12-19: 345.00 2025-12-22: 346.39 2025-12-23: 344.97 2025-12-24: 347.34 2025-12-26: 349.78 2025-12-29: 347.45 2025-12-30: 346.35 2025-12-31: 344.10 2026-01-02: 345.82 2026-01-05: 344.09 2026-01-06: 349.29 2026-01-07: 349.06 2026-01-08: 359.56 2026-01-09: 374.64 2026-01-12: 374.94 2026-01-13: 379.74 2026-01-14: 375.95 2026-01-15: 379.16 2026-01-16: 380.17 2026-01-20: 375.11 2026-01-21: 384.64 2026-01-22: 381.03 2026-01-23: 383.77 2026-01-26: 386.53 2026-01-27: 380.36 2026-01-28: 375.30 2026-01-29: 371.81 2026-01-30: 374.59 2026-02-02: 378.12 2026-02-03: 381.10 2026-02-04: 387.20 2026-02-05: 382.37 2026-02-06: 385.15 2026-02-09: 381.00 2026-02-10: 389.68 2026-02-11: 390.68 2026-02-12: 390.22 2026-02-13: 391.05 2026-02-17: 383.04 2026-02-18: 383.52 2026-02-19: 378.58 2026-02-20: 382.25 2026-02-23: 376.99 2026-02-24: 384.48 2026-02-25: 375.57 2026-02-26: 375.09 2026-02-27: 380.72 2026-03-02: 370.81 2026-03-03: 366.92 2026-03-04: 369.11 2026-03-05: 361.68 2026-03-06: 357.92 2026-03-09: 353.56 2026-03-10: 357.15 2026-03-11: 350.84 2026-03-12: 338.93 2026-03-13: 339.03 2026-03-16: 342.58 2026-03-17: 341.43 2026-03-18: 330.93 2026-03-19: 328.21 2026-03-20: 320.75 2026-03-23: 330.90 2026-03-24: 330.91 2026-03-25: 332.51 2026-03-26: 328.43 2026-03-27: 321.65 2026-03-30: 323.50 2026-03-31: 328.89 2026-04-01: 329.56 2026-04-02: 321.63 2026-04-06: 326.65 2026-04-07: 318.77 2026-04-08: 336.16 2026-04-09: 339.58 2026-04-10: 337.34 2026-04-13: 341.16 2026-04-14: 342.71 2026-04-15: 338.91 2026-04-16: 337.15 2026-04-17: 349.40 2026-04-20: 350.99 2026-04-21: 343.92 2026-04-22: 339.50 2026-04-23: 340.16 2026-04-24: 335.89 2026-04-27: 332.30 2026-04-28: 329.06 2026-04-29: 322.81 2026-04-30: 328.80 2026-05-01: 323.88 2026-05-04: 312.42 2026-05-05: 315.42 2026-05-06: 323.05 2026-05-07: 322.64 2026-05-08: 317.45 2026-05-11: 311.40 2026-05-12: 310.46 2026-05-13: 302.55 2026-05-14: 304.35 2026-05-15: 297.51 2026-05-18: 299.81 2026-05-19: 302.44 2026-05-20: 310.58 2026-05-21: 313.78 2026-05-22: 313.07 2026-05-26: 310.54 2026-05-27: 317.85 2026-05-28: 321.21 2026-05-29: 317.14 2026-06-01: 310.69 2026-06-02: 311.52 2026-06-03: 312.97 2026-06-04: 309.95 2026-06-05: 310.78 2026-06-08: 309.71 2026-06-09: 321.33 2026-06-10: 318.92 2026-06-11: 326.01 2026-06-12: 328.39 2026-06-15: 329.82 2026-06-16: 337.09 2026-06-17: 327.48 2026-06-18: 334.28 2026-06-22: 326.62 2026-06-23: 324.45 2026-06-24: 342.86 2026-06-25: 345.00 2026-06-26: 348.86 2026-06-29: 350.81 2026-06-30: 352.68 2026-07-01: 350.84 2026-07-02: 357.90 2026-07-06: 350.65 2026-07-07: 345.21 2026-07-08: 336.21 2026-07-09: 338.73 2026-07-10: 343.30 2026-07-13: 337.11 2026-07-14: 337.74 2026-07-15: 341.44 2026-07-16: 348.02 2026-07-17: 338.87 2026-07-20: 333.04 2026-07-21: 331.60 2026-07-22: 331.45 2026-07-23: 324.71 2026-07-24: 332.98 2026-07-27: 336.09 2026-07-28: 344.47 2026-07-29: 338.27 2026-07-30: 333.35 2026-07-31: 331.96 2026-08-03: 340.02 2026-08-04: 348.24 2026-08-05: 353.14 2026-08-06: 349.52 2026-08-07: 355.62 2026-08-10: 350.78 2026-08-11: 354.48 2026-08-12: 343.43 2026-08-13: 341.70 2026-08-14: 338.86 2026-08-17: 337.88 2026-08-18: 337.49 2026-08-19: 344.30 2026-08-20: 334.49 2026-08-21: 335.61 2026-08-24: 337.43 2026-08-25: 337.88 2026-08-26: 334.85 2026-08-27: 328.61 2026-08-28: 330.19 2026-08-31: 327.83 2026-09-01: 319.77 2026-09-02: 318.51 2026-09-03: 318.07 2026-09-04: 321.05 2026-09-08: 313.70 2026-09-09: 310.45 2026-09-10: 305.69 2026-09-11: 308.74 2026-09-14: 310.87 2026-09-15: 305.48 2026-09-16: 302.47 2026-09-17: 302.51 2026-09-18: 299.98 2026-09-21: 297.20 2026-09-22: 305.35 2026-09-23: 296.72 2026-09-24: 292.18 2026-09-25: 293.20 2026-09-28: 289.89 2026-09-29: 288.04 2026-09-30: 284.49 2026-10-01: 282.46 2026-10-02: 282.85 2026-10-05: 281.15 2026-10-06: 286.69 2026-10-07: 285.77 2026-10-08: 295.47 2026-10-09: 290.74 2026-10-12: 290.62 2026-10-13: 293.92 2026-10-14: 295.51 2026-10-15: 308.24 2026-10-16: 309.63 2026-10-19: 309.88 2026-10-20: 315.11 2026-10-21: 314.14 2026-10-22: 327.73 2026-10-23: 319.83 2026-10-26: 319.38 2026-10-27: 318.50
Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27
MACD: Bullish Weakening OBV: Confirmed Uptrend
What would change the latest view
If Q3 (Nov 17) shows US comps accelerating above ~+2% with gross margin ≥33.1% held WITHOUT refund support, the bear/quality thesis is wrong — buy the inflection If 30-year mortgages fall sustainably below ~6.5% and existing-home sales inflect up, the cyclical-recovery thesis activates If FY27 consensus EPS holds ~$15.02 through the Nov print, downside is cushioned and LEAN_BEARISH should be upgraded to LEAN_BULLISH on valuation
All calls on HD
HD
Lean bearish
Oct 11, 2026
· The Home Depot, Inc.
· edge 4/10 · evidence 7/10
Cheap-ish, but no edge yet.
HD is a high-quality franchise trading at the low end of its recent multiple on depressed earnings — but the catalysts that would re-rate it (housing turnover, big-ticket demand, rate relief) are absent, while near-term earnings quality is flattered by tariff refunds and revisions point down into the November print. The stock is more likely to mark time or re-test lows than to…
Entry $290.74 (2026-10-09)
1m vs SPY: +10.7% so far
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