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Calls › HD
HD The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

1 research call since Oct 11. Latest view: Lean bearish

Last close
$318.50 2026-10-27
1 week
+1.1%
1 month
+8.6%
3 months
-7.5%
1 year
-17.3%
Latest call vs SPY
+10.7% since 2026-10-09
Technical scan
Strong Buy rank 40 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

300.00350.002025-10-272026-04-292026-10-27Lean bearish · Oct 11, 20262025-10-27: 385.272025-10-28: 385.752025-10-29: 378.042025-10-30: 379.552025-10-31: 379.592025-11-03: 378.352025-11-04: 383.082025-11-05: 373.842025-11-06: 369.072025-11-07: 371.112025-11-10: 370.432025-11-11: 374.242025-11-12: 371.132025-11-13: 368.072025-11-14: 362.362025-11-17: 358.032025-11-18: 336.482025-11-19: 334.502025-11-20: 332.382025-11-21: 343.322025-11-24: 336.582025-11-25: 351.072025-11-26: 355.472025-11-28: 356.922025-12-01: 357.332025-12-02: 354.032025-12-03: 357.912025-12-04: 351.172025-12-05: 354.612025-12-08: 349.912025-12-09: 345.272025-12-10: 351.132025-12-11: 357.462025-12-12: 359.652025-12-15: 356.992025-12-16: 352.682025-12-17: 356.752025-12-18: 354.992025-12-19: 345.002025-12-22: 346.392025-12-23: 344.972025-12-24: 347.342025-12-26: 349.782025-12-29: 347.452025-12-30: 346.352025-12-31: 344.102026-01-02: 345.822026-01-05: 344.092026-01-06: 349.292026-01-07: 349.062026-01-08: 359.562026-01-09: 374.642026-01-12: 374.942026-01-13: 379.742026-01-14: 375.952026-01-15: 379.162026-01-16: 380.172026-01-20: 375.112026-01-21: 384.642026-01-22: 381.032026-01-23: 383.772026-01-26: 386.532026-01-27: 380.362026-01-28: 375.302026-01-29: 371.812026-01-30: 374.592026-02-02: 378.122026-02-03: 381.102026-02-04: 387.202026-02-05: 382.372026-02-06: 385.152026-02-09: 381.002026-02-10: 389.682026-02-11: 390.682026-02-12: 390.222026-02-13: 391.052026-02-17: 383.042026-02-18: 383.522026-02-19: 378.582026-02-20: 382.252026-02-23: 376.992026-02-24: 384.482026-02-25: 375.572026-02-26: 375.092026-02-27: 380.722026-03-02: 370.812026-03-03: 366.922026-03-04: 369.112026-03-05: 361.682026-03-06: 357.922026-03-09: 353.562026-03-10: 357.152026-03-11: 350.842026-03-12: 338.932026-03-13: 339.032026-03-16: 342.582026-03-17: 341.432026-03-18: 330.932026-03-19: 328.212026-03-20: 320.752026-03-23: 330.902026-03-24: 330.912026-03-25: 332.512026-03-26: 328.432026-03-27: 321.652026-03-30: 323.502026-03-31: 328.892026-04-01: 329.562026-04-02: 321.632026-04-06: 326.652026-04-07: 318.772026-04-08: 336.162026-04-09: 339.582026-04-10: 337.342026-04-13: 341.162026-04-14: 342.712026-04-15: 338.912026-04-16: 337.152026-04-17: 349.402026-04-20: 350.992026-04-21: 343.922026-04-22: 339.502026-04-23: 340.162026-04-24: 335.892026-04-27: 332.302026-04-28: 329.062026-04-29: 322.812026-04-30: 328.802026-05-01: 323.882026-05-04: 312.422026-05-05: 315.422026-05-06: 323.052026-05-07: 322.642026-05-08: 317.452026-05-11: 311.402026-05-12: 310.462026-05-13: 302.552026-05-14: 304.352026-05-15: 297.512026-05-18: 299.812026-05-19: 302.442026-05-20: 310.582026-05-21: 313.782026-05-22: 313.072026-05-26: 310.542026-05-27: 317.852026-05-28: 321.212026-05-29: 317.142026-06-01: 310.692026-06-02: 311.522026-06-03: 312.972026-06-04: 309.952026-06-05: 310.782026-06-08: 309.712026-06-09: 321.332026-06-10: 318.922026-06-11: 326.012026-06-12: 328.392026-06-15: 329.822026-06-16: 337.092026-06-17: 327.482026-06-18: 334.282026-06-22: 326.622026-06-23: 324.452026-06-24: 342.862026-06-25: 345.002026-06-26: 348.862026-06-29: 350.812026-06-30: 352.682026-07-01: 350.842026-07-02: 357.902026-07-06: 350.652026-07-07: 345.212026-07-08: 336.212026-07-09: 338.732026-07-10: 343.302026-07-13: 337.112026-07-14: 337.742026-07-15: 341.442026-07-16: 348.022026-07-17: 338.872026-07-20: 333.042026-07-21: 331.602026-07-22: 331.452026-07-23: 324.712026-07-24: 332.982026-07-27: 336.092026-07-28: 344.472026-07-29: 338.272026-07-30: 333.352026-07-31: 331.962026-08-03: 340.022026-08-04: 348.242026-08-05: 353.142026-08-06: 349.522026-08-07: 355.622026-08-10: 350.782026-08-11: 354.482026-08-12: 343.432026-08-13: 341.702026-08-14: 338.862026-08-17: 337.882026-08-18: 337.492026-08-19: 344.302026-08-20: 334.492026-08-21: 335.612026-08-24: 337.432026-08-25: 337.882026-08-26: 334.852026-08-27: 328.612026-08-28: 330.192026-08-31: 327.832026-09-01: 319.772026-09-02: 318.512026-09-03: 318.072026-09-04: 321.052026-09-08: 313.702026-09-09: 310.452026-09-10: 305.692026-09-11: 308.742026-09-14: 310.872026-09-15: 305.482026-09-16: 302.472026-09-17: 302.512026-09-18: 299.982026-09-21: 297.202026-09-22: 305.352026-09-23: 296.722026-09-24: 292.182026-09-25: 293.202026-09-28: 289.892026-09-29: 288.042026-09-30: 284.492026-10-01: 282.462026-10-02: 282.852026-10-05: 281.152026-10-06: 286.692026-10-07: 285.772026-10-08: 295.472026-10-09: 290.742026-10-12: 290.622026-10-13: 293.922026-10-14: 295.512026-10-15: 308.242026-10-16: 309.632026-10-19: 309.882026-10-20: 315.112026-10-21: 314.142026-10-22: 327.732026-10-23: 319.832026-10-26: 319.382026-10-27: 318.50

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27

MACD: Bullish WeakeningOBV: Confirmed Uptrend

What would change the latest view

  • If Q3 (Nov 17) shows US comps accelerating above ~+2% with gross margin ≥33.1% held WITHOUT refund support, the bear/quality thesis is wrong — buy the inflection
  • If 30-year mortgages fall sustainably below ~6.5% and existing-home sales inflect up, the cyclical-recovery thesis activates
  • If FY27 consensus EPS holds ~$15.02 through the Nov print, downside is cushioned and LEAN_BEARISH should be upgraded to LEAN_BULLISH on valuation

All calls on HD

HD Lean bearish
Oct 11, 2026 · The Home Depot, Inc. · edge 4/10· evidence 7/10

Cheap-ish, but no edge yet.

HD is a high-quality franchise trading at the low end of its recent multiple on depressed earnings — but the catalysts that would re-rate it (housing turnover, big-ticket demand, rate relief) are absent, while near-term earnings quality is flattered by tariff refunds and revisions point down into the November print. The stock is more likely to mark time or re-test lows than to…

Entry $290.74 (2026-10-09) 1m vs SPY: +10.7% so far

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