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Calls › NKE
NKE NIKE, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

2 research calls since Sep 29. Latest view: Lean bearish

Edge per call (0–10)
Sep 29, 2026: 3.5Oct 14, 2026: 4
Last close
$37.56 2026-10-27
1 week
-0.8%
1 month
+5.1%
3 months
-12.8%
1 year
-45.2%
Latest call vs SPY
+7.4% since 2026-10-13
Technical scan
Sell rank 85 of 127

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

40.0060.002025-10-272026-04-292026-10-27Lean bearish · Oct 14, 2026No clear edge · Sep 29, 20262025-10-27: 68.592025-10-28: 67.432025-10-29: 65.352025-10-30: 64.902025-10-31: 64.592025-11-03: 62.652025-11-04: 61.232025-11-05: 62.112025-11-06: 61.892025-11-07: 61.092025-11-10: 60.802025-11-11: 63.152025-11-12: 64.202025-11-13: 66.032025-11-14: 64.172025-11-17: 62.902025-11-18: 62.492025-11-19: 62.642025-11-20: 61.432025-11-21: 62.802025-11-24: 61.932025-11-25: 63.682025-11-26: 64.332025-11-28: 64.632025-12-01: 65.392025-12-02: 64.932025-12-03: 65.652025-12-04: 65.692025-12-05: 65.862025-12-08: 63.542025-12-09: 63.332025-12-10: 65.792025-12-11: 67.742025-12-12: 67.472025-12-15: 67.782025-12-16: 67.122025-12-17: 65.692025-12-18: 65.632025-12-19: 58.712025-12-22: 57.222025-12-23: 57.342025-12-24: 60.002025-12-26: 60.932025-12-29: 61.212025-12-30: 61.192025-12-31: 63.712026-01-02: 63.282026-01-05: 64.532026-01-06: 65.352026-01-07: 63.222026-01-08: 65.262026-01-09: 65.922026-01-12: 65.642026-01-13: 66.302026-01-14: 65.572026-01-15: 64.592026-01-16: 64.382026-01-20: 63.632026-01-21: 65.412026-01-22: 65.462026-01-23: 65.042026-01-26: 64.992026-01-27: 63.092026-01-28: 62.242026-01-29: 62.602026-01-30: 61.812026-02-02: 62.182026-02-03: 60.932026-02-04: 64.222026-02-05: 62.702026-02-06: 63.922026-02-09: 62.412026-02-10: 63.042026-02-11: 62.352026-02-12: 61.102026-02-13: 63.132026-02-17: 64.822026-02-18: 65.552026-02-19: 65.612026-02-20: 65.402026-02-23: 63.092026-02-24: 64.092026-02-25: 63.402026-02-26: 63.952026-02-27: 62.182026-03-02: 61.012026-03-03: 59.392026-03-04: 58.642026-03-05: 58.022026-03-06: 57.012026-03-09: 56.532026-03-10: 56.082026-03-11: 55.702026-03-12: 54.132026-03-13: 53.982026-03-16: 54.792026-03-17: 55.122026-03-18: 53.472026-03-19: 53.442026-03-20: 52.372026-03-23: 52.712026-03-24: 53.492026-03-25: 52.982026-03-26: 52.072026-03-27: 51.372026-03-30: 51.242026-03-31: 52.822026-04-01: 44.632026-04-02: 44.192026-04-06: 44.032026-04-07: 42.692026-04-08: 43.132026-04-09: 44.002026-04-10: 42.622026-04-13: 42.912026-04-14: 44.202026-04-15: 45.442026-04-16: 45.702026-04-17: 46.032026-04-20: 46.482026-04-21: 46.392026-04-22: 45.682026-04-23: 44.782026-04-24: 44.692026-04-27: 45.142026-04-28: 45.032026-04-29: 44.392026-04-30: 44.362026-05-01: 44.402026-05-04: 43.092026-05-05: 43.062026-05-06: 43.882026-05-07: 44.412026-05-08: 44.142026-05-11: 42.392026-05-12: 42.352026-05-13: 42.342026-05-14: 42.022026-05-15: 41.882026-05-18: 42.572026-05-19: 42.422026-05-20: 44.192026-05-21: 44.392026-05-22: 44.672026-05-26: 44.942026-05-27: 45.982026-05-28: 47.372026-05-29: 46.232026-06-01: 45.932026-06-02: 43.732026-06-03: 43.812026-06-04: 43.622026-06-05: 42.982026-06-08: 43.232026-06-09: 44.652026-06-10: 43.962026-06-11: 45.962026-06-12: 44.932026-06-15: 45.202026-06-16: 45.042026-06-17: 44.192026-06-18: 45.202026-06-22: 43.192026-06-23: 42.382026-06-24: 41.822026-06-25: 40.902026-06-26: 40.752026-06-29: 41.482026-06-30: 41.052026-07-01: 43.062026-07-02: 44.092026-07-06: 43.342026-07-07: 43.212026-07-08: 42.892026-07-09: 42.782026-07-10: 44.372026-07-13: 43.762026-07-14: 42.862026-07-15: 42.772026-07-16: 44.572026-07-17: 43.762026-07-20: 43.472026-07-21: 42.962026-07-22: 42.212026-07-23: 40.992026-07-24: 41.702026-07-27: 42.142026-07-28: 43.052026-07-29: 43.222026-07-30: 42.292026-07-31: 41.712026-08-03: 42.642026-08-04: 41.532026-08-05: 42.452026-08-06: 42.002026-08-07: 41.702026-08-10: 42.112026-08-11: 41.322026-08-12: 40.512026-08-13: 41.232026-08-14: 40.732026-08-17: 39.092026-08-18: 40.062026-08-19: 41.052026-08-20: 40.212026-08-21: 40.762026-08-24: 40.752026-08-25: 39.482026-08-26: 38.592026-08-27: 38.442026-08-28: 39.602026-08-31: 39.062026-09-01: 38.122026-09-02: 38.242026-09-03: 38.772026-09-04: 38.402026-09-08: 38.102026-09-09: 37.352026-09-10: 36.622026-09-11: 36.802026-09-14: 37.052026-09-15: 36.222026-09-16: 35.782026-09-17: 36.362026-09-18: 35.512026-09-21: 36.102026-09-22: 36.102026-09-23: 36.052026-09-24: 35.992026-09-25: 35.752026-09-28: 36.392026-09-29: 35.842026-09-30: 35.402026-10-01: 35.152026-10-02: 33.872026-10-05: 33.962026-10-06: 34.612026-10-07: 34.362026-10-08: 34.742026-10-09: 34.712026-10-12: 35.352026-10-13: 35.332026-10-14: 35.302026-10-15: 37.142026-10-16: 37.132026-10-19: 37.212026-10-20: 37.882026-10-21: 37.532026-10-22: 38.322026-10-23: 37.302026-10-26: 37.912026-10-27: 37.56

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27

MACD: Bullish Weakening OBV: Bearish Divergence (Distribution)

Notable moves days NKE was among the market's biggest movers

  • 2026-10-15  +5.2% Top gainer of the day · $37.14
  • 2026-10-02  -3.6% Earnings beat · $33.87
  • 2026-09-28  +1.8% Top gainer of the day · $36.39
  • 2026-08-25  -3.1% Top decliner of the day · $39.48
  • 2026-08-17  -4.0% Weak revenue cautious guidance · $39.09
  • 2026-08-04  -2.6% Common stock offering · $41.53

What would change the latest view

  • FY27 EPS consensus stabilizes or turns positive for 2+ consecutive months
  • Greater China decline narrows to low-single-digits or better in Q2/Q3 FY27
  • Wholesale order book inflects positive with improving full-price realization
  • If the stock falls toward high-20s while estimates hold ~$1.80, the risk/reward flips and this bearish-lean thesis weakens
  • Inventory begins declining meaningfully while gross margin (ex-refund) expands

All calls on NKE

NKE Lean bearish
Oct 14, 2026 · NIKE, Inc. · edge 4/10· evidence 7/10

Value trap — for now.

NKE is a value trap at current prices: headline trailing P/E of ~16.6x is flattered by a one-time IEEPA tariff recovery ($0.52 of Q4 FY26 EPS), so the clean trailing multiple is ~22x and forward is ~20x on a $1.80 FY27 EPS estimate that is still being revised down (one series already at $1.61). The Elliott Hill turnaround is fragmenting — North America wholesale and running…

Entry $35.33 (2026-10-13) 1m vs SPY: +7.4% so far
NKE No clear edge
Sep 29, 2026 · NIKE, Inc. · evidence 7/10

No — not yet, and earnings is the test.

NKE is a falling knife at 12-year lows with no technical reversal signal, a valuation (~21x forward) that is not optically cheap against still-falling estimates, and a dividend that consumes nearly all trough earnings. The 3-6 month case is entirely event-driven: the Oct 1 Q1 FY27 report (guided gross-margin expansion, tariff-refund progress, North America/wholesale momentum…

Entry $35.84 (2026-09-29) 1m vs SPY: +4.1% so far

Results vs SPY · * still running

PublishedViewEdgeEvidenceEntry1 week1 month3 months
Oct 14 Lean bearish 4 7 $35.33 +8.7% +7.4%* +7.4%*
Sep 29 No clear edge — 7 $35.84 -4.8% +4.1%* +4.1%*

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