SOL research calls · mrktpulsealpha

Calls › SOL

SOL

2 research calls since Oct 16. Latest view: No clear edge

Edge per call (0–10)

Last close

$102.56 2026-10-18

1 week

-6.8%

1 month

+1.0%

3 months

+35.9%

Technical scan

Buy rank 1 of 20

Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls

Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27

Crypto MACD: Bullish CrossoverSupport/Resistance: Near SupportVolume Surge: Volume Increase Crypto EMA: Bearish EMALong-Term Trend: Mild Downtrend

Notable moves days SOL was among the market's biggest movers

2026-08-24 +2.6% Top gainer of the day · $97.90

What would change the latest view

Bullish-tilt invalidation: Solana fee share of cross-chain fees falls below ~15% while TVL breaks below ~$5B — confirms value-capture deterioration, not just beta
Bearish-tilt invalidation: 30d fees sustain >20% growth for two consecutive months AND ETF flows resume net inflows — signals genuine activity recovery
Decisive break of the 52w low (~$62) on rising volume invalidates the 'de-rating complete' framing
SOL/BTC ratio making new 1y lows would confirm idiosyncratic deterioration rather than beta

All calls on SOL

SOL No clear edge

Oct 25, 2026 · evidence 6/10

Neither distressed entry nor trap — fairly de-rated.

SOL's collapse is ~70% market beta (corr 0.83-0.87, beta 1.38 to BTC) and ~30% genuine fundamental deterioration (TVL -50%, fee share down from 26.6% to 17.3%, memecoin fee engine gone). At ~$60B mcap with 0.53% annualized fee yield and ~1,670x FDV/revenue, it is not cheap on any cash-flow metric — but it was never priced on cash flow, and the unwind of the memecoin premium is…

Entry $102.56 (2026-10-18) Outcome pending

SOL No clear edge

Oct 16, 2026 · evidence 7/10

Real activity, weak token capture.

SOL's 3-month +36% is a real-activity recovery inside a deep drawdown (-65% from ATH), not manufactured pump volume — but it is also not a clean fundamental breakout. On-chain metrics are genuinely improving (TVL, fees, DEX volume, stablecoin supply), yet the activity mix is memecoin/bot-heavy with near-zero monetization, the token captures almost none of it (no fee switch, no…

Entry $102.71 (2026-10-16) 1m vs BTC: -0.4% so far

Results vs BTC · * still running

Published	View	Edge	Evidence	Entry	1 week	1 month	3 months
Oct 25	No clear edge	—	6	$102.56	—	—	—
Oct 16	No clear edge	—	7	$102.71	-0.4%*	-0.4%*	-0.4%*

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