2 research calls since Oct 16. Latest view: Lean bearish
Edge per call (0–10)
Last close
$407.46 2026-10-27
1 week
+9.0%
1 month
+9.5%
3 months
+32.5%
1 year
-9.9%
Latest call vs SPY
+14.0% since 2026-10-16
Technical scan
Strong Buy rank 17 of 127
Price, last 12 months daily close · markers are published calls
Current technical signals nightly scan, 2026-10-27
MACD: Bullish CrossoverOBV: Confirmed Uptrend
Notable moves days TSLA was among the market's biggest movers
2026-10-27+4.0% Top gainer of the day · $407.46
2026-10-26+5.2% Barclays upgrade to Overweight · $391.62
2026-10-21+3.4% Top gainer of the day · $386.47
2026-10-19+3.8% Top gainer of the day · $368.06
2026-10-02+4.7% Top gainer of the day · $370.59
2026-09-08+4.0% Top gainer of the day · $368.16
2026-09-04-5.9% Top decliner of the day · $354.08
2026-08-24-3.8% Top decliner of the day · $348.95
2026-08-21+5.1% Tesla clearly leading · $362.86
What would change the latest view
If auto gross margin ex-credits holds ≥17% AND management gives verifiable Cybercab production dates plus robotaxi fleet/utilization metrics, the bearish lean is wrong — the cut-cycle stops and the narrative re-rates
If FY27 guidance confirms ≥13.9% revenue growth with stable margins, the EPS-cut thesis is invalidated
If the stock sells off >10% post-print on a margin miss while FY27 EPS estimates fall below ~$2.00, the bearish view has played out and should be reassessed rather than pressed
If FSD subscription revenue or robotaxi operating metrics are disclosed and material, the 'no autonomy revenue' premise of the bear case weakens
TSLA trades at ~155–182x forward earnings on a $1.46T market cap while net income has collapsed ($15.0B 2023 → $3.8B 2025) and FY27 EPS consensus has been cut 13–16% in 90 days (19 down vs 4 up revisions in 30 days). The market is simultaneously pricing a deteriorating car business and an AI/autonomy franchise that has not yet produced material revenue. Into the print, the…
Roughly 80% of Tesla's equity story (Morningstar's own framework: robotaxi >30%, Optimus ~30%, FSD ~20%) rests on businesses with negligible current revenue, while the business that actually generates cash — autos — is shrinking (revenue down in 2025, EPS $4.30→$1.08 over two years, Q3 2026 deliveries -2.1% YoY, China share ~6.6% vs 15%+ in 2020). Estimate revisions are…